London, Al-Bawaba – An expert on counter terrorism & organized crime in the UK and Africa, published a new study warns that more ISIS ( Islamic State of Iraq and Syria; a designated terrorist organization) members will flee Iraq and Syria to stay and actively work in African countries.
David Otto expects that the new key trends of global terrorism in 2017 may likely slide further towards Africa despite efforts by regional bodies including the Multinational Joint Task force (Nigeria, Niger, Chad, Cameroon , Benin) to destabilize groups like Boko Haram- AQIM and Al- Shabaab within their region.
Analyzing events in 2016, the most common targets will remain soft and crowded areas – airports, stadia, Market places/malls , hotels ( mostly those attracting western visitors ) restaurants , places of worship, Cinemas, and other social gatherings. Hard targets including police stations, army barracks, critical infrastructures could occasionally be targeted for strategic reasons rather than to cause massive casualties.
One of the tactics that is would likely used by these elements, is» suicide bombing» using improvised explosive devices-IEDs – and vehicular Improvised explosive devices- VIEDs – is the most common tactics along side occasional weapon assault on unsuspecting hard targets. As with a possible increase in cyber attacks, there is a likelihood of terrorist using chemical or biological weapons if they become really desperate.
The expert predicted also that «Lone wolves», individuals, young and vulnerable women are most likely to be used for suicide bombings although young men are equally at high risks.